Predicting the Compensatory Picks, Take Two

January 20th, 2013

Will the Lions get anything for losing Drew Stanton in free agency?


Will Richards, DLD Contributor

Predicting the compensatory pick selections is far from an exact science. The last version had a lot of issues and I just wanted to say thank you to everybody who pointed out something that I missed. These comments helped me tremendously to come up with more accurate projections. As before, if you see something that you think is a problem, let me know and I’ll take a closer look.

Selections received by round:
3rd: Texans and Titans
4th: Ravens, Lions, and Packers
5th: Falcons, Ravens, and 49ers
6th: Ravens (x2), Panthers (x2), Raiders (x2), Texans (x3), Browns, Giants, Titans
7th: Cardinals, Falcons, Bengals, Packers, Dolphins, Eagles, Steelers, and Titans
End of the 7th because of record: Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, and Eagles.

Arizona
The Arizona Cardinals lost Richard Marshall and signed Adam Snyder but because of the difference in the contract signed, the Cardinals will receive a 7th round pick.
The Arizona Cardinals lost Duece Lutui who is canceled out by William Gay

Atlanta
The Atlanta Falcons lost Curtis Lofton and will receive a 5th round pick
The Atlanta Falcons lost Eric Weems and will receive a 7th round pick

Baltimore
The Baltimore Ravens lost Ben Grubs and will receive a 4th round pick
The Baltimore Ravens lost Jarrett Johnson and will receive a 5th round pick
The Baltimore Ravens lost Corey Redding and will receive a 6th round pick
The Baltimore Ravens lost Tom Zbikowski, Haruki Nakamura, and Brandon McKinney. They signed Corey Graham who cancels out Zbikowski and because a team can’t receive more than 4 compensatory picks, Nakamura and Graham combine to be another 6th round pick even though individually they weigh out as 7th rounders.

Buffalo
The Buffalo Bills lost Demetress Bell who is cancelled out by Mario Williams and Mark Anderson

Carolina
The Panthers lost Dan Connor and will receive a 6th round pick
The Panthers lost Travelle Wharton and will receive a 6th round pick
The Panthers lost Mackenzy Bernadeau who is canceled out by Mike Tolbert
The Panthers lost Geoff Schwartz who is canceled out by Haruki Nakamura

Chicago
Despite having 4 eligible players departing (Brandon Meriweather, Frank Omiyale, Caleb Hanie, and Corey Graham) and only three eligible players incoming (Eric Weems, Michael Bush, and Jason Campbell) the total dollar amount is greater incoming than it is outgoing causing so the Bears do not receive a pick.

Cincinnati
The Cincinnati Bengals lost Mike McGlynn and will receive a 7th round pick
The Cincinnati Bengals lost Nate Livings who is canceled out by Jason Allen
The Cincinnati Bengals lost Frostee Rucker who is canceled out by Travelle Wharton
The Cincinnati Bengals lost Jerome Simpson who is canceled out by Jamal Anderson
The Cincinnati Bengals lost Keith Rivers who is canceled out by BenJarvus Green-Ellis

Cleveland
The Cleveland Browns lost Mike Adams who is cancelled out by Juqua Parker
The Cleveland Browns lost Peyton Hillis who is cancelled out by Frostee Rucker
The Cleveland Browns lost Artis Hicks and will receive a 6th round pick for Artis Hicks

Dallas
The Dallas Cowboys lost Martellus Bennett and Laurent Robinson who are cancelled out by Brandon Carr, Kyle Orton, Lawrence Vickers, Dan Connor, Nate Livings, and Mackenzy Bernadeau.

Denver
The Denver Broncos lost Brodrick Bunkley, Daniel Fells, Brady Quinn, and Eddie Royal who are cancelled out by Joel Dreessen, Jacob Tamme, Tracy Porter, Justin Bannan, Caleb Hanie, and Mike Adams.

Detroit
The Detroit Lions lost Eric Wright and will receive a 4th round pick.
The Detroit Lions lost Drew Stanton who is canceled out by Jacob Lacey

Green Bay
The Green Bay Packers lost Matt Flynn and will receive a 4th round pick.
The Green Bay Packers lost Scott Wells and signed Jeff Saturday but because of the difference in the contract signed, the Packers will receive a 7th round pick.

Houston
The Houston Texans lost Mario Williams and will receive a 3rd round pick.
The Houston Texans lost Mike Brisiel and will receive a 6th round pick.
The Houston Texans lost Jason Allen and will receive a 6th round pick.
The Houston Texans lost Joel Dreessen and will receive a 6th round pick.
The Houston Texans lost Lawrence Vickers who is canceled out by Donnie Jones.

Indianapolis
The Indianapolis Colts lost Jamal Anderson, Pierre Garcon, Jacob Lacey, Dan Orlovsky, Jeff Saturday and Jacob Tamme who are cancelled out by Samson Satele, Winston Justice, Brandon McKinney, Corey Redding, Tom Zbikowski, Mike McGlynn, and Drew Stanton.

Jacksonville
The Jacksonville Jaguars neither gained nor lost a player worth compensatory selection consideration.
The Jacksonville Jaguars will receive a 7th round pick due to their record

Kansas City
The Kansas City Chiefs lost Kyle Orton who is canceled out by Brady Quinn
The Kansas City Chiefs lost Le’Ron McClain who is canceled out by Peyton Hillis
The Kansas City Chiefs lost Brandon Carr and will receive a 3rd round pick for him plus the difference in the contracts lost.
The Kansas City Chiefs will receive a 7th round pick due to their record

Miami
The Miami Dolphins lost Will Allen and will receive a 7th round pick
The Miami Dolphins lost Kendall Langford who is cancelled out by Richard Marshall
The Miami Dolphins lost Chad Henne who is cancelled out by Artis Hicks

Minnesota
The Minnesota Vikings lost Cedric Griffin who is cancelled out by John Carlson, Jerome Simpson and Geoff Schwartz.

New England
The New England Patriots lost Mark Anderson and BenJarvus Green-Ellis who are cancelled out by Trevor Scott, Steve Gregory, Brandon Lloyd, Daniel Fells, and Will Allen.

New Orleans
The New Orleans Saints lost JoLonn Dunbar, Robert Meachem, Carl Nicks and Tracy Porter who are cancelled out by David Hawthorne, Chris Chamberlain, Curtis Lofton, Ben Grubbs, and Brodrick Bunkley.

New York Giants
The New York Giants lost Mario Manningham who is cancelled out by Martellus Bennett.
The New York Giants lost David Tollefson who is cancelled out by Sean Locklear.
The New York Giants will receive a 6th round pick for Aaron Ross

New York Jets
The New York Jets neither signed nor lost a player worth compensatory selection consideration.

Oakland
The Oakland Raiders lost Michael Bush and will receive a 6th round pick
The Oakland Raiders lost Samson Satele and will receive a 6th round pick
The Oakland Raiders will receive a 7th round pick because of their record.
The Oakland Raiders lost Jason Campbell who is cancelled out by Mike Briesel
The Oakland Raiders lost Trevor Scott who is cancelled out by Dave Tollefson

Philadelphia
The Philadelphia Eagles lost Steve Smith and will receive a 7th round pick.
The Philadelphia Eagles lost Juqua Parker who is cancelled out by Demetress Bell.
The Philadelphia Eagles lost Winston Justice and because of the difference in the value of Demetress Bell and Juqua Parker will not receive a pick for him.
The Philadelphia Eagles will receive a 7th round pick due to their record

Pittsburgh
The Pittsburgh Steelers lost William Gay and will receive a 7th round pick.

San Diego
The San Diego Chargers lost Steve Gregory, Vincent Jackson, and Mike Tolbert who are cancelled out by Atari Bigby, Charlie Whitehurst, Jarrett Johnson, Eddie Royal, Le’Ron McClain and Robert Meachem.

Seattle
The Seattle Seahawks lost Atari Bigby, John Carlson, David Hawthorne, and Charlie Whitehurst who are cancelled out by Jason Jones, Deuce Lutui, Frank Omiyale, and Matt Flynn.

San Francisco
The San Francisco 49ers lost Josh Morgan and will receive a 5th round pick.
The San Francisco 49ers lost Adam Snyder who is cancelled out by Mario Manningham.

St. Louis
The St. Louis Rams lost Justin Bannan, Chris Chamberlain, Donnie Jones and Brandon Lloyd who are cancelled out by Cortland Finnegan, William Hayes, Scott Wells, Kendall Langford, JoLonn Dunbar, and Steve Smith.

Tampa Bay
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers did not lose a single player worth compensatory selection consideration.

Tennessee
The Tennessee Titans lost William Hayes and will receive a 7th round pick.
The Tennessee Titans lost Cortland Finnegan and will receive a 3rd round pick.
The Tennessee Titans lost Jason Jones and will receive a 6th round pick.

Washington
The Washington Redskins lost Laron Landry and Sean Locklear who are cancelled out by Brandon Meriweather, Pierre Garcon, Cedric Griffin and Josh Morgan.

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3 Responses to “Predicting the Compensatory Picks, Take Two”

  1. Lionhawk says:

    ON Detroit Lacey was Cut so is not a qualifying FA

  2. Lionhawk says:

    opps Lacey was a RFA and not tendered so I did not think he qualified?

  3. jackson_murrell says:

    For Cincy, you left out Jon Fanene.

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